Well-Made-Emitter
0xe0425b09d3c6dde6d0ffad7846c752a1e6f9abb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$16.02
Total PnL
$-81.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$3.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?
1375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1?
770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$3.16Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$100.10Jul 3, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$100.00Jun 26, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$100.10Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$100.00Jun 19, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 30?$10.82Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$89.09Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$89.01May 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$4.16May 31, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$13.00May 31, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$14.51May 31, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$91.94May 31, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$91.85May 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 30?$10.80May 29, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.10May 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.01May 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$14.50May 28, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$116.12May 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$116.01May 27, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$116.12May 27, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $72.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.