Well-Made-Emitter
0xe0425b09d3c6dde6d0ffad7846c752a1e6f9abb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$105.07
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-888.12
Win rate
0%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
1650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?
1375 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 1?
770 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-196.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026?$92.00Aug 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins$4.78Aug 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$3.16Jul 3, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$100.10Jul 3, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of June 22 2026?$100.00Jun 26, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$100.10Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$100.00Jun 19, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 30?$10.82Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$89.09Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$89.01May 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$4.16May 31, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$13.00May 31, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$14.51May 31, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$91.94May 31, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$91.85May 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 30?$10.80May 29, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.10May 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?$102.01May 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$14.50May 28, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$116.12May 28, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $69.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.