Petty-Blanket
0xe050b37f8174e216f061a9a4a59fa980e5b2b594
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$30.72
Total PnL
$-106.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
76 shares @ 29.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$30.72
$8.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
6100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
2116 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$22.00Jul 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$26.07Jul 11, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$48.00Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$44.38Jul 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$44.12Jul 9, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$35.23Jul 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$45.45Jul 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$40.14Jul 7, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$49.17Jul 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$20.40Jul 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5$20.44Jul 5, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5$68.97Jul 5, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$64.94Jul 5, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$3.45Jun 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$1.02Jun 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 17, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1.54Jun 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$91.20Jun 14, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$6.09Jun 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$3.98Jun 13, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $44.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.