Any-History
0xe0549a0998eaf5abdd42a48cc17c3dd6f87252bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$31.50
Total PnL
$-328.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 15?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$14.50
$0.16
- NO
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.00
$0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
216 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-132.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 15?$14.34Mar 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$7.96Mar 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$8.97Mar 14, 12:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.29Jan 23, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$90.97Jan 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$42.00Jan 22, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.79Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.90Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.90Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.82Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.80Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$10.00Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.42Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$102.00Jan 22, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$50.00Jan 22, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$48.00Jan 22, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$58.18Jan 22, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5$25.00Jan 22, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.