Celebrated-Challenge
0xe055257f722f55eea5223e60d8996c15c6a58df9
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$117.39
Total PnL
$-107.56
Realised
$57.62
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
8985 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$40.43
$16.85
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
9403 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$18.81
$-9.40
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
62 shares @ 20.9¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.99
$0.00
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
99 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$9.43
$-3.47
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
2568 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.99
$1.28
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?
902 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$6.31
$-22.10
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?
673 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$4.04
$2.69
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
7309 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.65
$-11.94
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?
1020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.57
$0.51
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?
880 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.08
$0.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$5.61Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$0.13Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in June?$0.01Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in June?$0.05Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.01Jun 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?$0.60Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?$2.09Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$5.47Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.1% in June?$24.98Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.02Jun 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.02Jun 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.09Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.09Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.14Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.14Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.09Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.04Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?$0.09Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.04Jun 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?$0.03Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.