Lovable-Jelly
0xe05718325a174ebfbf169497664a2f89bac5e08a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$8.27
Total PnL
$-495.94
Realised
$34.88
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22?
21 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.27
$-0.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?
119 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
81 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
59 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
43 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
40 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$9.36Jul 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.43Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 17?$10.48Jul 16, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$10.47Jul 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$5.21Jul 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$17.59Jul 15, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$11.12Jul 15, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.35Jul 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$15.55Jul 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$45.57Jul 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$20.80Jul 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$15.72Jul 13, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$22.07Jul 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$5.17Jul 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 12?$15.51Jul 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 10?$10.46Jul 9, 21:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$6.15Jul 9, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 9?$10.38Jul 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 8?$10.44Jul 7, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.