Known-Calibre
0xe05eff76eecb7da55033f6c9b6677748fcca7aa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Spread: Nottingham Forest (-1.5)
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Stade de Reims win on 2025-12-08?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
18 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will FC Alverca win on 2025-12-07?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-07?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 7, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)$1.32May 4, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.68May 4, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 10, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?$1.49Feb 14, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13?$1.79Feb 14, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-13?$1.96Feb 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-13?$1.00Feb 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-1.5)$1.00Feb 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Star FC win on 2026-02-13?$1.00Feb 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13?$1.00Feb 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?$1.00Feb 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?$1.00Feb 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?$2.00Feb 7, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?$1.00Feb 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$1.00Jan 25, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?$1.00Jan 25, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?$1.52Jan 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-18?$1.00Jan 18, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?$5.00Jan 18, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.