Trivial-Teenager
0xe05f5943a8adf19d59d0d63d77b7eb681297b3e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$501.08
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
51789 shares @ 0.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.8K
$2.3K
- YES
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
27339 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.0K
$799.93
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
202346 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$950.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
6179 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$349.09
$121.08
- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
25226 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$290.09
$-556.83
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
17474 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$253.37
$1.26
- YES
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?
55589 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$250.15
$-117.18
- YES
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?
21930 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$197.37
$5.42
- YES
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
37133 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$18.57
$-209.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.