Separate-Invention
0xe05fb267689c3bf2255be19d78d8b6554043a071
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.63
Realised
$-9.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4000 and $4100 on August 9 at 5PM ET?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
127 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 1?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
94 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on July 26 at 5PM ET?
88 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on July 26 at 5PM ET?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3400 on August 4 at 5PM ET?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 9 at 5PM ET?
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.99Mar 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?$0.00Oct 30, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?$0.50Oct 29, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?$0.95Oct 29, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26 at 8AM ET?$0.40Sep 26, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26 at 8AM ET?$0.60Sep 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 26 at 8AM ET?$1.00Sep 26, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on September 28?$1.00Sep 24, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 23, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.00Sep 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Sep 17, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.