Glaring-Excess
0xe0645a4ba248aa2bc90a0029f802b13d620f34c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.84
Total PnL
$-62.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
30 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-1.49
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
2791 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
528 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
277 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?$2.00Jan 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$0.00Jan 5, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by December 31?$3.33Jan 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 5, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.00Jan 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?$1.00Jan 5, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?$0.00Jan 5, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 29-January 4?$0.00Jan 5, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$9.76Jan 3, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 2, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 2, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.00Dec 20, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 15-21?$1.00Dec 19, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".