Tedious-Author
0xe06659f050377448caca1b55d345d04bb4873ffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.94
Total PnL
$-63.76
Realised
$2.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
69 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$-3.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.24
$-1.76
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1081 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.98May 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.08May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.16May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.95May 17, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$6.60May 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$5.98May 4, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$2.00Apr 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$2.00Apr 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during CNBC: Squawk Box appearance on April 21?$1.00Apr 21, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$1.14Apr 20, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.