Left-Shoemaker
0xe06df48a35af33779be1fe15803f7205661004e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-904.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
299 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$298.51
$98.51
- YES
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
264 shares @ 37.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2024$264.41
$164.41
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$219.78
$19.78
- $4000
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$204.08
$104.08
- NO
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$117.65
$17.65
- NO
GPT-5 released in 2024?
103 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$103.43
$3.43
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
3587 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
1404 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-507.78
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
271 shares @ 73.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?$40.46Nov 16, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$130.51Nov 16, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 16, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$50.00Nov 16, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$100.00Nov 16, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$62.50Nov 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?$102.04Nov 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$102.87Nov 16, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$327.27Nov 16, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high in Q4?$340.38Nov 16, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$103.63Nov 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.0KNov 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$208.33Nov 9, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$4.50Nov 6, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?$100.00Nov 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?$200.00Nov 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Elon space tonight?$98.70Nov 6, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMAssociated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?$0.00Nov 6, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $356.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.