Informal-Brand
0xe07a51e0f7bec021abf0168604eba5ea4d9b7490
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.22
Total PnL
$-41.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$-8.93
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
35 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- YES
US civil war before 2027?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$28.50Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$312.96Feb 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$24.93Feb 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$20.00Feb 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30.05Feb 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$15.51Feb 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$3.00Feb 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Iran" or "Ukraine" during the fundraiser?$3.00Feb 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Gender" during the fundraiser?$3.00Feb 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$25.51Feb 9, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds$0.00Feb 9, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".