Actual-Authorisation
0xe07ab6f31869aa8c39e44a56c17f743b74bca610
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$17.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?
32500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.92
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
9386 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-127.28
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?
8437 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-24.26
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?
6866 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-46.27
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
5129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.50
- NO
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
2693 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-51.38
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
2042 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-59.11
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?
1318 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump endorse another candidate for NYC Mayor?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$18.00Nov 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.26Nov 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$10.00Nov 28, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.00Nov 28, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$2.90Nov 28, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$3.85Nov 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.89Nov 26, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.68Nov 26, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.22Nov 26, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$15.10Nov 26, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$17.13Nov 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$7.54Nov 25, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$8.03Nov 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$44.00Nov 25, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$10.00Nov 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$2.10Nov 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$130.99Nov 20, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in November?$11.54Nov 19, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$36.22Nov 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$8.91Nov 15, 05:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.