Murky-Hydrocarb-Feature
0xe08284d12a10698e0eb2867858feb50432dc1b35
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$4.93
Total PnL
$-168.22
Realised
$-3.77
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 4?
15 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.6¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.84
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 4?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 4?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 4?
90 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.45
$-0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 4?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on May 4?
25 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.40
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 4?
11 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.39
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 4?
113 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.34
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 4?
166 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.25
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$0.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or higher on May 4?$0.642h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 4?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 4?$0.642h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 4?$0.662h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 4?$0.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 4?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 4?$0.652h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 4?$1.042h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 4?$0.722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 4?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 4?$1.042h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?$2.662h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?$5.072h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 3?$1.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?$3.075h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?$1.039h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 3?$0.089h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$0.479h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$1.0414h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".