Masculine-Stand
0xe0859d938365513354f31b1f9d033e25068a5474
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$172.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
15958 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
15000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-71.14
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
13500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
8920 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.28
- YES
Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
7220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.22
- YES
Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
7139 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
6977 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.93
- YES
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
6633 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.93
- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
6611 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-27?$128.51Jun 27, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals$154.05Jun 23, 15:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $140.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.