Vivid-Surface
0xe08a0604e31e11b52815b01d2ba9fe749f96d9bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$13.02
Total PnL
$-10.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
13 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$13.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
370 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?$12.00Apr 9, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$510.48Apr 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$510.00Apr 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$110.21Apr 7, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$109.00Jan 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$3.00Dec 23, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?$107.63Dec 23, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?$103.00Nov 11, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$6.55Nov 11, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$4.00Oct 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in September?$2.00Sep 5, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$6.20May 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$34.09May 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$30.00Apr 14, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$0.00Apr 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$80.00Feb 17, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,300 on January 17?$33.75Feb 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,300 on January 17?$13.50Jan 15, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$81.25Jan 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$65.00Dec 14, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $66.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.