Needy-Thump
0xe08f39059f58ad9f84930a158a8c670a0d8a414d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-524.77
Realised
$-152.26
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 14?
215 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 31?
207 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on January 28?
192 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 29?
182 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?
168 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 12-18?
165 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2AM ET
157 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 9-15?
137 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-36.77
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 8PM ET
133 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?
120 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 14?$2.76Aug 13, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?$87.86Jul 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?$85.40Jul 22, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 27?$77.00Jun 27, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 27?$74.69Jun 27, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 29?$1.95May 28, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$89.69May 26, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$14.12May 25, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$12.27May 25, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$59.71May 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 24?$1.50May 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 20?$2.86May 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$1.35May 18, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$86.29May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$0.45May 17, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$83.77May 17, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 19, 1PM ET$27.84May 17, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$3.27May 15, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 18?$71.64May 10, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28?$0.00Apr 28, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $25.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.