0xe094ce18a458ef2bcc6a833135a8e9a90efd9571
0xe094ce18a458ef2bcc6a833135a8e9a90efd9571
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-22.44
Realised
$-1.59
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - August 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
8 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
6 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
2 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.02Aug 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.18Aug 15, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.05Aug 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.02Aug 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.05Aug 15, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.02Aug 15, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.01Aug 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.07Aug 15, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.04Aug 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.01Aug 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.05Aug 15, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.12Aug 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.02Aug 15, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.89Aug 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.05Aug 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.01Aug 15, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.96Aug 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.00Aug 14, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.