Quixotic-Run
0xe0a0f9ec448959de62ee1fdbb401a211cc4b7b91
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$307.17
Total PnL
$2.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
51 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.80
$0.80
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.07
$0.07
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
41 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
35 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$35.01
$0.02
- NO
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.00May 20, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$50.02May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$40.04May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.01May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.06May 20, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$10.08May 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$50.10May 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$60.06May 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$60.06May 20, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$60.06May 20, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?$34.99Mar 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.00Mar 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$60.00Mar 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$60.00Mar 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$60.00Mar 10, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$19.71Mar 10, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$40.04Mar 10, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$40.04Mar 10, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $58.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.