Breakable-Millstone
0xe0a177058b6bcadb9290a073a0d825fb33f8b34a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.70
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
4013 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-123.99
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
835 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
764 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
728 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-86.15
- YES
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?
621 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win The Bronx in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
451 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
338 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-36.27
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$113.00Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$6.00Mar 18, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?$0.00Mar 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?$9.00Sep 24, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar strike on Israel by September 30?$20.00Sep 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$12.00Sep 5, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$8.37Jul 9, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$11.63Jul 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$5.00Jul 3, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$10.00Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$40.00Jul 2, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DPP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$2.50Jun 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$8.47Jun 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$5.00Jun 27, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$32.40Jun 26, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?$5.00Jun 26, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$6.27Jun 26, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$3.00Jun 26, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".