Ancient-Adverb
0xe0b67bea15aa135c19a4b0cd20e60fb6b575da71
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.18
Total PnL
$-57.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
26 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
24 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
20 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.05May 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?$4.11May 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?$6.17May 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?$0.00May 3, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?$0.00May 3, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?$0.00May 3, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?$0.00May 3, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$0.00May 3, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$2.69Apr 21, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?$0.00Apr 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$0.01Apr 15, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?$0.00Apr 15, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?$11.76Apr 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.00Apr 9, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$2.74Apr 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?$3.00Apr 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be between 2% and 1% in Q1 2025?$5.00Apr 4, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$0.00Apr 4, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US sanction Ukraine before April?$0.00Apr 4, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before April?$0.00Apr 4, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.