0xe0b6c9c45eba8961bc1d62fdae65adc5e4d495d0
0xe0b6c9c45eba8961bc1d62fdae65adc5e4d495d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.83
Realised
$-10.85
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 16?
713 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?
509 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 16?
499 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 17?
270 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 90°F or higher on May 17?
248 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?
212 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 17?
183 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 17?
165 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 17?
112 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on May 18?
84 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 25?$5.08Jul 24, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?$5.08Jul 24, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24?$5.11Jul 24, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 24?$5.15Jul 24, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?$8.18Jul 24, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 23?$10.18Jul 24, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 23?$5.12Jul 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 23?$5.09Jul 22, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 21?$6.32Jul 22, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$7.94Jul 22, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 21?$5.07Jul 19, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$5.09Jul 19, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 21?$5.04Jul 19, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?$5.09Jul 19, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 18?$6.93Jul 19, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?$7.68Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?$5.08Jul 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?$5.14Jul 17, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 18?$5.06Jul 17, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?$7.68Jul 17, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.