Realistic-Relay
0xe0ba50638097d4ed0d23bbb901805899f93e9d46
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?
1886 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?
1298 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Starmer out in 2025?
821 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
690 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
630 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in November?
563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during September?
545 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
533 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?
512 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$87.46May 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$25.95May 8, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5$103.00Apr 25, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5$70.00Apr 25, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$112.00Jan 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5$141.12Dec 9, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$40.00Dec 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Dec 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$20.00Dec 1, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$20.00Dec 1, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$50.00Dec 1, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ice Cream" in November?$10.00Dec 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Refrigerator" in November?$10.00Dec 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?$50.00Nov 30, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?$100.00Nov 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$309.17Nov 30, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$106.00Nov 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$30.00Nov 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$20.00Nov 26, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Affordability" or "Affordable" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$151.73Nov 26, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $65.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".