0xe0c65a30191298dd2be3609ba4041782c01ef9dc
0xe0c65a30191298dd2be3609ba4041782c01ef9dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$97.43
Total PnL
$-98.78
Realised
$5.49
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
78 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$77.94
$63.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 12?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$13.29
$9.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$6.20
$3.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1406 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.18
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
1361 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.34
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
997 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.94
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
968 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.72
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
957 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8AM ET
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
261 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 12?$0.00Apr 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.33Mar 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$2.23Mar 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?$4.00Mar 31, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$0.00Mar 30, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 30, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3AM ET$5.70Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$7.50Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-7.5)$9.00Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$36.00Mar 30, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.13Mar 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.84Mar 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.84Mar 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.84Mar 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.88Mar 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.42Mar 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.21Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$0.28Mar 30, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.