Outrageous-Society
0xe0d1529e3898df7a0f9c79bb89a6f0b47ecec677
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-184.32
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DANIEL GALAN
Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy
3766 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
2164 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1573 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1569 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
1062 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
724 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-284.26
- STEFANOS TSITSIPAS
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac
644 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
477 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-231.18
- CASPER RUUD
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx
416 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-308.00
- THIAGO AGUSTIN TIRANTE
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
278 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-116.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$12.11Jun 21, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$105.99May 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$721.48May 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$389.49May 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$228.77May 23, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$223.84May 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$139.19May 23, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul$1.4KMay 23, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul$583.72May 23, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$399.76May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$269.63May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$518.26May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy$2.0KMay 16, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00May 16, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$629.19May 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$239.52May 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$25.79May 16, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMBordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko$26.76May 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko$19.17May 13, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00May 13, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $279.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.