Webbed-Specification
0xe0d405953f936136293092d440ac955374c1a19d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-117.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?
476 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 7, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$5.00Mar 7, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$10.00Mar 6, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?$5.00Mar 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 6, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)$41.80Mar 6, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)$5.00Mar 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)$20.00Mar 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 1)$5.00Feb 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$5.00Feb 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.00Feb 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$5.00Feb 20, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakia$5.00Feb 20, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)$7.00Feb 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5.00Feb 19, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 04:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.