Unique-Liquidity
0xe0d9407f4beec6a1c2dfa36f02f327303ebf8483
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-44.32
Win rate
3%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
1408 shares @ 71.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.3K
$316.90
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1073 shares @ 42.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$691.97
$235.97
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
918 shares @ 54.5¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$413.08
$-86.92
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
295 shares @ 84.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$263.72
$13.72
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
129 shares @ 52.8¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.54
$9.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
3897 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?
538 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
426 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
321 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
258 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Aug 4, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$54.95Aug 4, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$50.31Aug 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.28Aug 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.15Aug 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.31Aug 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$15.46Aug 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$111.73Aug 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$50.03Aug 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$30.04Aug 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$30.04Aug 4, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$115.67Aug 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$85.00Aug 2, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$255.00Jul 31, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$96.26Jul 31, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$206.00Jul 21, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$40.03Jul 21, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$63.61Jul 21, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
37 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $54.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.