Any-Venue
0xe0dc02240313376d474af4cb0b1d3b9d282c94db
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-56.57
Realised
$2.96
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?
565 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$558.02
$-2.98
- NO
Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?
251 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$249.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
156 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$154.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026?
52 shares @ 98.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$29.92
$-21.08
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?
23 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$23.24
$0.24
- NO
Procter & Gamble (PG) Q4 organic sales growth <0.5%?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?
14 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?$300.11Aug 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?$20.22Aug 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?$250.04Aug 15, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$28.01Aug 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?$52.36Aug 10, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 185M?$103.04Aug 6, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?$26.04Aug 5, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.8M in June?$4.76Aug 4, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US Trade Deficit be less than $50 billion in June 2026?$140.00Aug 4, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?$261.10Aug 4, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$155.00Aug 4, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 49.0 in July?$27.52Aug 3, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?$2.59Aug 1, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?$2.72Aug 1, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?$4.07Aug 1, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?$10.53Aug 1, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by July 31?$11.52Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?$3.76Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$15.26Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19B by July 31?$2.31Aug 1, 19:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $125.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.