Naughty-Backdrop
0xe0e0ac47124c16cec2ee23e318a5bc2a30b4129d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$95.09
Total PnL
$-20.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$95.09
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?
1113 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 15?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 1?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 3?
720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 15?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 1?
633 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$95.01Jun 5, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$95.10Jun 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$95.00May 25, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$95.10May 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$95.00May 21, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$94.09May 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$94.00May 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$94.09May 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$94.01May 9, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$94.09May 9, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$94.00May 5, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$94.09May 5, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$94.00Apr 28, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.09Apr 28, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$94.00Apr 24, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$94.09Apr 24, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$94.00Apr 19, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?$3.50Apr 19, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 17?$97.09Apr 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 17?$97.00Apr 16, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $85.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".