Queasy-Violet
0xe0e3690b54d62865b922531fe5c5b2a4fbb924dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$160.00
Total PnL
$-5.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
160 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$160.00
$0.16
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
350 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
290 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.03Mar 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.80Mar 27, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$159.84Mar 25, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.47Mar 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?$528.41Dec 17, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 16, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?$528.94Dec 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$505.92Dec 15, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$506.43Dec 15, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$488.53Dec 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$489.02Dec 14, 12:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Dec 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$556.64Dec 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$557.20Dec 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$567.72Nov 29, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$568.29Nov 29, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$489.02Nov 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$489.51Nov 26, 16:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$505.92Nov 24, 04:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $408.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.