Salty-Conversion
0xe0eec46e4f6c3f21499caff213b776cabc496346
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$72.68
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-30?
19552 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1815 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-139.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
1499 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
1485 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
1381 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
1166 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
914 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
868 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$8.17Jul 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.34Jul 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$10.25Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Jul 5, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$17.86Jul 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.31Jul 5, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.06Jul 5, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Jul 5, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$7.46Jul 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.12Jul 5, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$9.09Jul 5, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.16Jul 5, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.91Jul 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.28Jul 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.77Jul 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06Jul 5, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.59Jul 5, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.03Jul 5, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.03Jul 5, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.03Jul 5, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.