Fearful-Conduct
0xe0ef9a3eb20a291ebbe35768756915c202e4e9cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-300.18
Realised
$-11.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
213 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
202 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.03
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
147 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.58
- NO
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?
126 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.94
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
114 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Pension" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
64 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-02?
56 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-29.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$0.00Jan 3, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$11.90Jan 3, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$3.45Dec 29, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$28.93Dec 25, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$6.33Dec 16, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?$36.38Dec 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?$11.65Dec 8, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$4.41Dec 6, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$4.74Dec 6, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?$0.00Dec 2, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?$2.02Dec 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-02?$29.50Dec 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$1.00Dec 2, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Somalia" or "Somalian" or "Somali" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$1.00Dec 2, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sarah" or "Beckstrom" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?$1.00Dec 2, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$3.00Dec 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$3.00Dec 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2?$1.00Dec 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$20.00Dec 1, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$5.00Dec 1, 07:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.