0xe0f7a95082b39d3f1f2244891b40f047b68dd31b
0xe0f7a95082b39d3f1f2244891b40f047b68dd31b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$98.31
Total PnL
$-6.35
Realised
$-6.23
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$25.00
$22.00
- YES
Paraguay leading at halftime?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$18.18
$16.18
- YES
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
11 shares @ 18.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$10.82
$8.82
- YES
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$6.67
$4.67
- YES
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
7 shares @ 30.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.56
$4.56
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.25
$4.25
- YES
Japan leading at halftime?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$6.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.56
$1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.04Jun 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $1.08Jun 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 37 million views on day 2?$1.08Jun 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.07Jun 29, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?$0.47Jun 29, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.71Jun 29, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?$0.42Jun 29, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.41Jun 29, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.66Jun 29, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$1.06Jun 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco leading at halftime?$1.06Jun 29, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay leading at halftime?$1.07Jun 29, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan to score first vs. Brazil?$1.06Jun 29, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?$1.07Jun 29, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.06Jun 29, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.06Jun 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$1.06Jun 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$1.06Jun 29, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan leading at halftime?$1.07Jun 29, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$1.06Jun 29, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.