Trifling-Rhetoric
0xe0fb706be565bf04ee751cd1966e524bd604be19
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$15.98
Total PnL
$-9.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- COCO GAUFF
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsend
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- MADISON KEYS
Roland Garros WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- IVA JOVIC
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- EMMA NAVARRO
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- BELINDA BENCIC
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- VICTORIA MBOKO
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic$1.01May 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkova$1.01May 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsend$2.01May 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys$2.01May 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkari$1.01May 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen$1.01May 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala$1.01May 25, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$2.02May 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-12.5)$3.02May 25, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?$2.22May 25, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Volendam win on 2026-04-05?$2.38May 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 5, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Apr 5, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?$1.00Apr 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Volendam win on 2026-04-05?$2.00Apr 5, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?$2.00Apr 5, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burkina Faso win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Apr 5, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2026-03-31?$1.16Apr 5, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Honduras win on 2026-03-31?$1.27Apr 5, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.