Legitimate-Pickaxe
0xe0fc6b3733e15c468e363d230107ca268a7db09f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
96
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$24.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10039 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$853.33
$-157.93
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
238 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$223.37
$2.49
- NO
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
175 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.00
$17.50
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
153 shares @ 24.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$153.09
$115.96
- NO
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.50
$4.00
- YES
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
174 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.94
$-10.45
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.25
$-239.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- NO
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
600 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$9.73Jul 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$28.81Jul 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$83.72Jul 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$98.50Jul 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$64.02Jul 11, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$50.00Jul 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$27.36Jul 11, 02:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2.98Jul 10, 20:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$17.59Jul 9, 08:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBogota: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida$35.68Jul 7, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$50.00Jul 7, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$38.77Jul 7, 17:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka$54.75Jul 5, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $36.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.