0xe10e61218938c41a2dbf241c2a6e3c93e1e86aeb
0xe10e61218938c41a2dbf241c2a6e3c93e1e86aeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$74.80
Total PnL
$18.69
Realised
$10.21
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$51.00
$1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.00
$2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.92
$2.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.92
$2.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.92
$2.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.07
$1.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.97
$1.16
- YES
Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 1, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.45Jan 31, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$2.30Jan 31, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.20Jan 31, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.60Jan 31, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.20Jan 31, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.50Jan 31, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.55Jan 31, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.10Jan 31, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.