0xe115ac2326d9537d3cd0fc9a115efbf89a7ce029
0xe115ac2326d9537d3cd0fc9a115efbf89a7ce029
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.94
Total PnL
$2.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.09
$1.09
- YES
Will "Tesla" be in the headlines this week?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.84
$0.84
- YES
Will "Rigged" be in the headlines this week?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.44
$0.44
- YES
Will "Slave" be in the headlines this week?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?$4.88Jun 25, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during June 24 Rally?$6.13Jun 25, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "New York" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.00Jun 25, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Knicks" this week?$0.00Jun 22, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?$0.00Jun 18, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Medal of Honor ceremony on June 18?$7.96Jun 18, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?$4.88Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$4.89Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?$4.89Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$4.89Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Maduro" this week?$0.00Jun 17, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Star" this week?$5.54Jun 17, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$0.00Jun 16, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oman" this week?$0.00Jun 15, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani stream on Twitch again by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$0.00Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$6.85Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$0.00Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.