Scarce-Circumstance
0xe12a0662cdd4b3fc0de4d15463eaa5c2b9590c5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-342.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
3734 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
1319 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
431 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
159 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$42.00Mar 29, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$30.00Mar 28, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$20.00Mar 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$100.00Mar 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$50.00Mar 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$100.00Mar 28, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $57.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.