Likely-Transfer
0xe12a9494b161734728800d5e39c3e9ddeffec76b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.22
Total PnL
$-1.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$5.76
$1.67
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.26
$1.28
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 46.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.20
$1.18
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.02Jul 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?$4.09Jul 12, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$3.47Jun 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$2.98Jun 27, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 12, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?$0.00Jun 12, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 12, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00Jun 12, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$9.84Jun 12, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?$3.36May 31, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$3.48May 30, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?$2.91May 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$5.51May 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$11.76May 5, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?$2.27May 4, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$19.01Feb 7, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$18.99Jan 30, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$6.32Jan 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$7.41Jan 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$11.89Jan 21, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".