Competent-Carter
0xe13ac0ed71de743f71d79b95db0c1b8096fccc01
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-78.49
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
9833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6917 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
5612 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
2137 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-110.74
- YES
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
1526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$30.00May 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$14.00May 3, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$27.20Apr 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$16.81Apr 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$104.70Apr 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 20, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 20, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$144.44Mar 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$100.00Mar 19, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$30.00Mar 19, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$250.25Mar 18, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$269.50Mar 18, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$28.90Mar 18, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$25.00Mar 18, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $29.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.