Conscious-Importance
0xe13d917a98b52d349a0ded057c4f6012d9664633
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.98
Total PnL
$-56.51
Realised
$-28.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?
66 shares @ 36.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.98
$-22.41
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- REWARD$51.64Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.29Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.75Jul 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?$1.89Jul 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?$1.04Jul 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Submission" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett?$29.30Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$3.41Jul 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$3.55Jul 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?$0.46Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E2?$7.65Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$272.29Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?$0.44Jul 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?$32.02Jul 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.07Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.37Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?$0.10Jul 11, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?$3.50Jul 11, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$11.79Jul 11, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$15.61Jul 11, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?$24.39Jul 11, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.