Plaintive-Skill
0xe1403090cd935a23a10668242b964cb9afbd78d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-34.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
10608 shares @ 47.1¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.8K
$-173.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
4545 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$170.45
$-329.54
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
14092 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
11864 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?
10130 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
7386 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
7362 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
7195 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
6000 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
2693 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.44Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.56May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.81May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.61May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.69May 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $6.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.