Elaborate-Aperitif
0xe14fe02cf9891053aae243318351ba651c7dd959
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$205.36
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-548.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
1040 shares @ 23.1¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.19
$-40.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?
5331 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-23.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?
2896 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.14
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
2083 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
1379 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 3?
882 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
762 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 4?
653 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.07Jun 3, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.31Jun 3, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.35Jun 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$1.00May 31, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$240.00May 30, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$651.34May 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$400.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$50.00May 25, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$814.07May 25, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$300.00May 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$500.00May 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$200.00May 23, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 20, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 20, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$20.00Apr 20, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$65.79Apr 14, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$100.00Apr 8, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$6.00Apr 8, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$20.00Apr 8, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $307.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".