Short-Bumper
0xe15494672a1b2e2f3994ceae4b71c6b183cb9b78
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 27?
343 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 16?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 12?
85 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 22?$2.00Jan 22, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$51.26Jan 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Jan 21, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SBV Excelsior win on 2025-12-14?$1.00Jan 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$6.00Jan 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 27?$15.00Jan 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET$1.00Jan 20, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$3.00Jan 20, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 16?$2.00Jan 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$2.51Jan 15, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.94Jan 15, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.30Jan 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.00Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 25?$5.56Dec 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".