Mediocre-Greed
0xe15633730bcd6325b76845396f18594f4bd82d12
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.11
Total PnL
$-7.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 19?
27 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 15?
14 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
13 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 21?
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?
7 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 22?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 23?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$4.87Jun 14, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 23, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$1.75Apr 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 22?$1.00Apr 21, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 21?$1.00Apr 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?$1.00Apr 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 19?$1.00Apr 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 18?$7.20Apr 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 18?$1.00Apr 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 16?$8.23Apr 16, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 15?$0.30Apr 15, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.