0xe15cbdf0f71db81405dddb76668c43d92d1119d4
0xe15cbdf0f71db81405dddb76668c43d92d1119d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
162
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-365.59
Realised
$-1.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
137 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$136.88
$9.14
- NO
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
93 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$92.75
$11.13
- YES
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
93 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$92.75
$8.90
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
81 shares @ 29.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$80.78
$57.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
80 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$80.00
$40.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$49.83
$24.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
33 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$33.22
$16.28
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$30.00
$13.80
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
30 shares @ 69.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$29.67
$8.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$22.50
$11.47
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.59Mar 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.90Mar 17, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$17.21Mar 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$17.21Mar 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$17.21Mar 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$10.03Mar 17, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$14.77Mar 17, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$33.22Mar 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$9.84Mar 17, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$14.77Mar 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.90Mar 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.10Mar 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$11.47Mar 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$7.35Mar 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$7.65Mar 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.10Mar 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$4.90Mar 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.10Mar 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$4.90Mar 17, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".