Long-Yawl
0xe15d718537547eb515e2dd2ad49dee748b948596
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.08
Total PnL
$-13.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.06Jan 26, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.00Jan 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 7, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.01Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in December?$1.01Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?$1.02Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.07Jan 7, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $130.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".