Physical-Season
0xe15fcdd25c08084f5d9aa3668266cfb9b4004479
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-811.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
130281 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-607.76
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
9790 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-79.99
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2254 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
820 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
141 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-15.97
- YES
James Comey arrested by October 31?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
42 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$2.00Jan 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.50Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$6.00Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$6.00Dec 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.50Dec 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$6.00Dec 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$40.00Dec 4, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Dec 4, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.00Dec 3, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$15.00Dec 3, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?$0.00Nov 30, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$143.06Nov 5, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$143.06Oct 31, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$28.00Oct 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?$5.00Oct 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?$4.64Oct 16, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?$5.00Oct 16, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ times during CNN town hall on October 15?$0.25Oct 16, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".