Nocturnal-Responsibility
0xe15fd15b3fc15935aa314cd1971fda1edefac9d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$35.57
Total PnL
$-2.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
34 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$33.67
$0.67
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Nets
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2025$1.90
$0.40
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
17 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?$2.00Jan 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Nets$1.50Jan 6, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Jazz$1.81Jan 6, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMFalcons vs. Commanders$2.25Jan 6, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Wizards$2.38Jan 6, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Blackhawks$5.00Jan 6, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Jazz$1.30Dec 30, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Wizards$2.00Dec 30, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Blackhawks$5.00Dec 30, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Commanders$2.00Dec 30, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.10Dec 30, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$33.00Dec 30, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$0.00Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.88Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?$6.02Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?$10.07Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMPuffer airdrop in 2024?$15.32Dec 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?$10.00Oct 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffer airdrop in 2024?$15.00Oct 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?$5.00Oct 4, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".