Concerned-Chemistry
0xe168160d0dd5e1f8f247664a9284b12cf118f375
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-754.69
Realised
$5.40
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 25?
211 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?
90 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.17
- PREDATORS
Ducks vs. Predators
87 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?
80 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 23?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22?
80 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?
80 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 22?
80 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?
80 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?
80 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-26.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$2.10May 25, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$0.45May 25, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$0.45May 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$3.23May 25, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$0.93May 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$0.05May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$0.27May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$0.15May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$0.15May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$0.08May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 26?$1.41May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?$2.12May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 26?$5.00May 25, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?$20.69May 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?$3.19May 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 25?$1.05May 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25?$3.00May 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?$6.80May 24, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 25?$0.40May 24, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 25?$0.45May 24, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.